NFL Week 4 Predictions: Our Picks Against the Spread

NFL Week 4 Predictions: Our Picks Against the Spread

Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Houston Texans (0-2-1), 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Chargers -5.5 | Total: 44.5

There were concerns last week about Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert’s rib injury; now there are concerns about the whole team. Los Angeles added eight players to the injury report after Sunday’s blowout loss to the Jaguars, including tackle Rashawn Slater (out for the season with a torn biceps) and linebacker Joey Bosa (week to week with a groin injury). The line has moved from 6.5 to 5.5, a good sign for Texans fans. Pick: Texans +5.5

Chicago Bears (2-1) at Giants (2-1), 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Giants -3.5 | Total: 38.5

The Giants’ two-game win streak came to an abrupt halt, met by a Cowboys defense that pressured Daniel Jones a record 23 times and collected five sacks. Adding injury to insult, Giants receiver Sterling Shepard tore his anterior cruciate ligament on the offense’s last play of the game. The Bears are coming off a win despite a poor Week 3 performance from quarterback Justin Fields, who threw two interceptions against the Texans and has not thrown a touchdown pass since the season opener. He should be able to hand the ball off with ease to Khalil Herbert or David Montgomery against the Giants, who have given up 5.3 rushing yards per attempt, fifth-most in the league. Pick: Bears +3.5

Jets (1-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2), 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Steelers -3.5 | Total: 40

The Jets put left tackle George Fant on injured reserve, where he joined two of the team’s other offensive lineman. The timing couldn’t be worse, as quarterback Zach Wilson is expected to return to the lineup this week after getting knee surgery to repair a torn meniscus in training camp.

Pittsburgh struggled against the Browns last week, and fans’ calls have grown louder for Coach Mike Tomlin to bench quarterback Mitch Trubisky in favor of rookie (and Pitt alum) Kenny Pickett. Tomlin is benching veteran nose tackle Tyson Alualu for Montravius Adams, probably a reaction to Nick Chubb running for 113 yards on the Steelers last Thursday night. Adams will line up against an offensive line of Jets bench-warmers. Pick: Steelers -3.5

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-2), 4:05 p.m., Fox

Line: Panthers -2.5 | Total: 43

The Cardinals’ best weapon is their quarterback, who is one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the N.F.L. For some reason, the team hasn’t been letting him scramble and run. His rush attempts are down from 6.7 per game to 4. Carolina is coming off its first win of the season, but its defense still let a banged-up Jameis Winston throw for 353 yards. Pick: Cardinals +2.5

New England Patriots (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1), 4:25 p.m., CBS

Line: Packers -10.5 | Total: 45

Mac Jones looked tough last week in New England’s loss to the Ravens but sprained his ankle in the fourth quarter after the game was all but lost. Brian Hoyer, a 14-year N.F.L. veteran, will replace him. The markets have shown little confidence in Hoyer, who is 1-12 as a starter since the 2016 season, as the line moved from 8.5 to as high as 11 after Jones’s injury on Sunday. It sat at 10.5 as of Wednesday. The Patriots have yet to cover a spread this season, but this week, they get the biggest spread on the board. Pick: Patriots +10.5

Denver Broncos (2-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-3), 4:25 p.m., CBS

Line: Raiders -2 | Total: 45.5

The Raiders sneaked into the playoffs last season but, after spending to add Davante Adams and Chandler Jones ahead of this season, are the only 0-3 team in the league. This may be a good week to get their first win. Las Vegas hosts the Broncos, who got a second win last week by beating the 49ers by 1 point in an unimpressive effort where Denver punted 10 times. The Broncos might be the worst 2-1 team in the N.F.L. Pick: Raiders -2

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