Warnock is in a strong position, with much of the outstanding vote in heavily Democratic metro Atlanta.

Senator Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent in Georgia’s bitter, expensive and hard-fought Senate runoff, is in strong position to win a full six-year term against Herschel Walker, his Republican challenger, as more than 85 percent of the state’s runoff election votes have been counted.

While the two candidates are tightly bunched, a preponderance of the remaining vote is expected to come from the state’s largest — and heavily Democratic — counties that make up greater Atlanta. Cobb, DeKalb, Fulton and Gwinnett all have tens of thousands of votes left outstanding that will tilt heavily toward Mr. Warnock.

Mr. Warnock is winning each of those counties by wide margins. In DeKalb, Mr. Walker has just 9 percent of the more than 170,000 votes counted. Mr. Walker took 14 percent of the DeKalb County vote in November.

Mr. Walker’s showing in a number of conservative, rural counties are another ominous sign for him.

With nearly all of the vote counted in Catoosa County, in Georgia’s northwest corner — the part of the state represented in Congress by Marjorie Taylor Greene — Mr. Walker has 85 percent of his November total, while Mr. Warnock has 88 percent of his. The results are similar in a handful of other deep-red rural counties, including Pierce in the southeast, Emanuel in Middle Georgia and Chattahoochee in the west.

The $380 million race was the nation’s most expensive this year, with Georgians facing an avalanche of advertising on all manner of screens, billboards and, on Sunday night, a drone-powered light show over Piedmont Park in the heart of Atlanta.

Here’s what else to know:

  • The runoff turnout is quite high even by Georgia’s standards. The number of votes cast is expected to be about 85 percent of the number of people that voted in November. Two years ago, the Senate runoff electorate was 91 percent of the general election; a 2018 runoff for secretary of state drew just 38 percent of the number of votes from that year’s general election.

  • Voters encountered few long waits on Tuesday, without the kinds of lines that marred early voting.

  • The runoff is a lose-lose situation for former President Donald J. Trump. If Mr. Warnock wins, candidates endorsed by Mr. Trump will have not only failed to reclaim the Senate for Republicans, but actually lost them a seat. If Mr. Walker wins, a big reason may be the decision to keep the former president out of Georgia during the runoff period.

  • Tonight is the second time in nearly two years that Georgia is counting votes in a Senate runoff election. Last year, Mr. Warnock and Jon Ossoff, a fellow Democrat, defeated Republican incumbents in elections that handed their party control of the Senate. Mr. Warnock’s current race — the fifth time he’s been on the ballot for the same seat in 25 months — carries lower stakes; Democrats clinched control of the Senate last month. Mr. Warnock would be the party’s 51st vote in the chamber.

  • The race will decide whether Democrats win an outright majority in the Senate, 51 seats to 49, or whether the chamber stays evenly divided. Just one seat could make a big difference.

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